Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Monkeys writing masterpieces

What are the odds if you put 100 monkeys to type on 100 computers, they ended up typing Hamlet or Dante's Divine Comedy in your lifetime?
I remember reading about this talking about the nature of probability.

Jeans, 1930
... It was, I think, Huxley, who said that six monkeys, set to strum unintelligently on typewriters for millions of millions of years, would be bound in time to write all the books in the British Museum. If we examined the last page which a particular monkey had typed, and found that it had chanced, in its blind strumming, to type a Shakespeare sonnet, we should rightly regard the occurrence as a remarkable accident, but if we looked through all the millions of pages the monkeys had turned off in untold millions of years, we might be sure of finding a Shakespeare sonnet somewhere amongst them, the product of the blind play of chance. In the same way, millions of millions of stars wandering blindly through space for millions of millions of years are bound to meet with every sort of accident, and so are bound to produce a certain limited number of planetary systems in time. Yet the number of these must be very small in comparison with the total number of stars in the sky.

Sir James Jeans.
The Mysterious Universe. New York: Macmillian Co., 1930, page 4

Sorry for the lack of updates guys, but I'm going crazy, I'm going f-ing nuts, all I see these days are monkeys writing masterpieces; they just don't stop. Hopefully they have internet connection in the mental institution I'm heading for. Haha, kidding, but you know what I mean.
Actually, you don't. Especially if you're a young poker player or if you don't have enough years playing poker. But don't worry, you'll be there, you'll see monkeys writing too. Hopefully you'll see your monkeys and laugh; I can't laugh, I want to kill the motherfuckers.

P.S. For my non-poker readers, I'm fine, really mom, I'm good, Diana and the kids are doing great. There are no monkeys being killed at home. You know we love animals.


AJ "The Triple Threat" Martino said...

The variance monster beating up on ya?

I'm telling ya, I know the huge paydays in the MTT's are nice, but they pay 10% of the field.

Give some NL sit n' Go's a try. I'm primarily an Omaha hi/lo cash game player (semi-pro at the 10/20 and 15/30 level), but I've been firing up four sit n' go's at a time (22's, 33's and 55's) and they are ridiculously soft.

They pay the top 30%, so someone with your skill level should be able to consistantly show a profit.

I've only just started, I have 24 games under my belt. Here are my (likely unsustainable) win rates:

Games played 24

16 wins (66.66%)
9 losses (37.5%)

$55 table (2 wins, 2 losses 50% wins)

$33 table (3 wins, 1 losses 75% wins)

$22 table (11 wins, 5 losses 68.75% wins)

Anonymous said...

first of all i thank you for sharing your inner thoughts through your blogs. i have noticed you sound a bit more and more frustrated lately. if you dont mind me asking, how is your money situation? i know you buy in to the big live tourneys as well. 25K to spend on a live tourney is just something i have no concept of. also are you regretting going pro? thinking about going to back to the job and playing part-time again?

David (sirio11) said...

The money situation is fine, but just because I planned in advance for the worst. I'm not thinking to going back to teach, at least not for now; and frankly when I was teaching, I considered playing poker a full time job. The difference is now I have just one full time job, instead of 2.

Enrique Treviño said...

Maybe monkeys were writing masterpieces from 1998 to 2005 and then they started writing gibberish.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for always being real and honest. You are truly one of the smartest poker players I know. You are expieriencing an awful run of cards here lately. Keep playing your game and in no time will your hands start to hold up again. Poker gods are just testing you out right now. stay strong brother. Gluck.

Anonymous said...

Tough luck in his one sirio :(

PokerStars Game #4915017368: Tournament #24600724, $100+$9 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2006/05/12 - 21:26:20 (ET)
Table '24600724 2' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: BeL0WaB0Ve (17905 in chips)
Seat 2: jrdowns (9865 in chips)
Seat 3: jwvdcw (5630 in chips)
Seat 4: babyshark33 (19200 in chips)
Seat 5: sirio11 (16805 in chips)
Seat 6: Deman17 (8745 in chips)
Seat 7: slk1t (10775 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 8: schmeek (17125 in chips)
Seat 9: ChipMovr (7525 in chips)
BeL0WaB0Ve: posts the ante 25
jrdowns: posts the ante 25
jwvdcw: posts the ante 25
babyshark33: posts the ante 25
sirio11: posts the ante 25
Deman17: posts the ante 25
slk1t: posts the ante 25
schmeek: posts the ante 25
ChipMovr: posts the ante 25
schmeek: posts small blind 200
ChipMovr: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
BeL0WaB0Ve: raises 800 to 1200
jrdowns: folds
jwvdcw: folds
babyshark33: folds
sirio11: calls 1200
Deman17: folds
slk1t: folds
schmeek: folds
ChipMovr: folds
*** FLOP *** [Ah 3d Tc]
BeL0WaB0Ve: bets 1600
sirio11: raises 3200 to 4800
slk1t has returned
BeL0WaB0Ve: raises 11880 to 16680 and is all-in
sirio11: calls 10780 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [Ah 3d Tc] [Ac]
*** RIVER *** [Ah 3d Tc Ac] [Ts]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
BeL0WaB0Ve: shows [Qd As] (a full house, Aces full of Tens)
sirio11: shows [3s 3c] (a full house, Threes full of Aces)
jrdowns said, "WOW"
BeL0WaB0Ve collected 34385 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 34385 | Rake 0
Board [Ah 3d Tc Ac Ts]
Seat 1: BeL0WaB0Ve showed [Qd As] and won (34385) with a full house, Aces full of Tens
Seat 2: jrdowns folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: jwvdcw folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: babyshark33 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: sirio11 showed [3s 3c] and lost with a full house, Threes full of Aces
Seat 6: Deman17 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: slk1t (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: schmeek (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: ChipMovr (big blind) folded before Flop

David (sirio11) said...

Almost as good as this one, just the day before

PokerStars Game #4907142673: Tournament #24233516, $100+$9 Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2006/05/12 - 00:24:21 (ET)
Table '24233516 9' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: fightwar37 (535 in chips)
Seat 2: zaratusa (2480 in chips)
Seat 3: dominos1 (5235 in chips)
Seat 4: tdriller (2000 in chips)
Seat 5: Quilly03 (7695 in chips)
Seat 6: Rizen (3470 in chips)
Seat 7: sirio11 (5745 in chips)
Seat 8: truesyalose (2060 in chips)
Seat 9: kidpoker406 (4425 in chips)
kidpoker406: posts small blind 100
fightwar37: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to sirio11 [8h 8c]
zaratusa: folds
dominos1: folds
tdriller: folds
Quilly03: calls 200
Rizen: folds
sirio11: calls 200
truesyalose: folds
kidpoker406: raises 700 to 900
fightwar37: calls 335 and is all-in
Quilly03: calls 700
sirio11: calls 700
*** FLOP *** [2d 8d 5s]
kidpoker406: bets 3525 and is all-in
Quilly03: calls 3525
sirio11: raises 1320 to 4845 and is all-in
Quilly03: calls 1320
kidpoker406 said, "fdasj;jk;lasdf;kkl;jasfjklasdfjkjkal;skljdf"
kidpoker406 said, "**** me"
*** TURN *** [2d 8d 5s] [As]
kidpoker406 said, "god dammit"
*** RIVER *** [2d 8d 5s As] [3h]
Quilly03 said, "lol"
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Quilly03: shows [5h 4h] (a straight, Ace to Five)
sirio11: shows [8h 8c] (three of a kind, Eights)
Quilly03 collected 2640 from side pot-2
kidpoker406: shows [Jd Jh] (a pair of Jacks)
Quilly03 collected 11670 from side pot-1
fightwar37: shows [Kc 2c] (a pair of Deuces)
Quilly03 collected 2140 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 16450 Main pot 2140. Side pot-1 11670. Side pot-2 2640. | Rake 0
Board [2d 8d 5s As 3h]
Seat 1: fightwar37 (big blind) showed [Kc 2c] and lost with a pair of Deuces
Seat 2: zaratusa folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: dominos1 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: tdriller folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Quilly03 showed [5h 4h] and won (16450) with a straight, Ace to Five
Seat 6: Rizen folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: sirio11 showed [8h 8c] and lost with three of a kind, Eights
Seat 8: truesyalose (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: kidpoker406 (small blind) showed [Jd Jh] and lost with a pair of Jacks

PuertoKid said...

I thought this kind of thing only happened to me. Hope things pick up for you sooner rather than later...damn monkeys!

And why is it whenever I see a BelOWAb0Ve hand post, he is always sucking out on someone?