Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Killed by horrible calls

I played my first tourney in like 2.5 months, the $300+20 Wednesday with a prize pool of almost $200K. I was cruising but then I was killed by these 2 hands:

Poker Stars, $300 + $20 NL Hold'em Tournament, 100/200 Blinds, 9 Players

UTG+1: 2,345
UTG+2: 3,520
Hero (MP1): 7,355
MP2: 4,608
CO: 2,630
BTN: 8,260
SB: 4,065
BB: 11,277
UTG: 7,786

Pre-Flop: (300) K A dealt to Hero (MP1)

2 folds, UTG+2 raises to 600, Hero raises to 2,200, MP2 calls 2,200, 5 folds

Flop: (5,300) 4 4 6 (2 Players)

Hero bets 2,600, MP2 calls 2,408 and is All-In

Turn: (10,116) Q (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: (10,116) Q (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 10,116 Pot

Hero showed K A (two pair, Queens and Fours) and LOST (-4,608 NET)

MP2 showed 8 8 (two pair, Queens and Eights) and WON 10,116 (+5,508 NET)

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Mmmmmm, calling 50% of your stack preflop after a raise AND a reraise with 88?
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The second one:

Poker Stars, $300 + $20 NL Hold'em Tournament, 100/200 Blinds, 9 Players

BTN: 2,045
SB: 3,820
Hero (BB): 2,747
UTG: 10,116
UTG+1: 2,630
UTG+2: 7,560
MP1: 3,375
MP2: 11,867
CO: 7,686

Pre-Flop: (300) A 7 dealt to Hero (BB)

UTG calls 200, UTG+1 calls 200, 6 folds, Hero raises to 2,747 and is All-In, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls 2,430 and is All-In

Flop: (5,560) 5 Q 4 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Turn: (5,560) T (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: (5,560) 6 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 5,560 Pot

Hero showed A 7 (high card Ace) and LOST (-2,630 NET)

UTG+1 showed A 8 (high card Ace) and WON 5,560 (+2,930 NET)

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Calling in EP with a semi-shortstack with A8d, and then calling the 14x all in, just in case your hand is good ??
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Well, a warm welcome to donkaments, to be honest, I don't remember the field for the $300 being this bad, but that's a good thing, right?

Sunday, November 11, 2007

Sunday Teasers

Doing all 2,3,4 on PHI,NYG,DET and MIA

Sunday, November 04, 2007

Teasing these teams

I'm doing completely all 2,3,4 with BUF,SEA,GB,SD,DEN y HOU. Also doing some PIT.

Too many bets, and the problem is I have too many road teams, but I couldn't help it. Go teasers !!!!

And I couldn't bring myself to bet the Patriots, but I'm really excited for the Patriots-Colts game.

Friday, November 02, 2007

Lots of teasers, no tourneys at all and some cash games

This week I think I'm going to bet too many teasers on the NFL games, probably more than 40 bets, I know there are too many, but I think they have an edge and well, sports betting is all about finding a little edge here and there.

I haven't played a tourney probably since the Main Event of the WCOOP, really I don't even remember the last one I played, but I'm playing some cash games, I wouldn't say in a regular basis, but I put some hours some days of the week, I play 2-4,3-6 and 5-10 No Limit 6-handed, I'm doing well, probably variance is on my side, but I feel pretty comfortable with my 6-handed game. I just need to put more hours, so I can be rich, but I'm pretty lazy, well I guess it's more about lack of focus than laziness, I can't just concentrate for long periods.

I'm also solving a lot of Math Olympiad problems these days, I love them and I have always liked a good Math challenge.

Probably I'll post the teams I'm teasing this week, hopefully I won't lose my sports betting bankroll this week.

Monday, October 22, 2007

I love Teasers !!! what a NFL weekend

This weekend I had an all time high of 27 NFL bets. I won 26, pushed 1 and 0 loses !!!! Just incredible, I used the following teams to do the teasers NYG,DAL,HOU,KC,NO,TB,SEA and all of them covered !!!, the only team I was going to use but did not like the line was WAS, the line was -8.5(-2.5 with the tease), so I didn't bet it; at the end it was a good (lucky?) decision, since Washington won 21-19 and didn't cover the -2.5. I do bet one WAS -8(-2) line just like one minute before kick off (my wake up time)and that was my only push.
I feel pretty proud because I almost didn't bet any game since I was pretty tired on Saturday night, Sunday morning, but even I was pretty sleepy, I went to my computer like at Sunday 5AM and did my homework and bet all the games I thought there was a mathematical edge. It worked and I felt proud of my professional gambling responsibility (whatever that means).
There were 2 incredible games where unlikely things happened at the end just to help me cover, the Tampa Bay and the Houston game. After the 3rd quarter, I thought I had already lost the HOU game and all my HOU teasers since the score was 32-7, but with an unbelievable 4th quarter, HOU scored 29 points just to help me cover :), they lost at the end 38-36 with a NFL all time record 8th field goal by Rob Bironas of Tennessee, but since I had HOU+7.5 I was pretty happy, such an unbelievable game. Since it's pretty unlikely I'll win these many bets without losing one in the future in a given day, I just feel the need to post all the bets:


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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:16a 2 Team Teaser
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:33a 2 Team Teaser
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:01a 3 Team Teaser
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9½ Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:53a 2 Team Teaser
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9 Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $220.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:06a 3 Team Teaser
(408) New Orleans Saints -2 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9 Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $360.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:07a 3 Team Teaser
(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9 Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $360.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:12a 3 Team Teaser
(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:11a 3 Team Teaser
(408) New Orleans Saints -1½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:17a 3 Team Teaser
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -1½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:06a 2 Team Teaser
(408) New Orleans Saints -2 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $220.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:04a 2 Team Teaser
(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $220.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:39a 2 Team Teaser
(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:14a 2 Team Teaser
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:19a 3 Team Teaser
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9½ Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:56a 2 Team Teaser
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9½ Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:21a 3 Team Teaser
(408) New Orleans Saints -1½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(412) Dallas Cowboys -2½ Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $320.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 6:57a 2 Team Teaser
(416) New York Giants -2½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.5 points)
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9½ Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.5 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $240.00 to win $200.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 7:02a 3 Team Teaser
(408) New Orleans Saints -2 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8½ Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(421) Kansas City Chiefs +9 Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Win
Risk $200.00 to win $360.00
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Date placed: Oct 21, 2007 1:01p 2 Team Teaser
(406) Washington Redskins -2 Sun@1:00p (Teased 6.0 points)
(428) Seattle Seahawks -2 Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points)
Outcome: Push
Risk $220.00 to win $200.00
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10/21/2007 06:45:35 2 Play 6.5 point Teaser:
Wagered $240.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 15 10/21 SAN FRANCISCO AT NEW YORK G NEW YORK G -9.0 (+6.5) (W)
F 19 10/21 TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON HOUSTON +1.5 (+6.5) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:37:45 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 7 10/21 ATLANTA AT NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS -8.0 (+6.0) (W)
F 17 10/21 TAMPA BAY AT DETROIT TAMPA BAY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:34:59 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 19 10/21 TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON HOUSTON +1.5 (+6.0) (W)
F 27 10/21 ST LOUIS AT SEATTLE SEATTLE -8.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:31:40 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 17 10/21 TAMPA BAY AT DETROIT TAMPA BAY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
F 21 10/21 KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:30:53 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 7 10/21 ATLANTA AT NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS -8.0 (+6.0) (W)
F 21 10/21 KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:29:35 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 19 10/21 TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON HOUSTON +1.5 (+6.0) (W)
F 21 10/21 KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND KANSAS CITY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:11:27 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 7 10/21 ATLANTA AT NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS -8.0 (+6.0) (W)
F 19 10/21 TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON HOUSTON +1.5 (+6.0) (W)
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10/21/2007 06:10:27 2 Play 6.0 point Teaser:
Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 Won Teaser Wager
F 17 10/21 TAMPA BAY AT DETROIT TAMPA BAY +2.5 (+6.0) (W)
F 19 10/21 TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON HOUSTON +1.5 (+6.0) (W)

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Monterrey !! Congreso SMM

Ahora ando en Monterrey en el Congreso de la Sociedad Matemática Mexicana, este próximo Jueves 18 daré una platica titulada: "Beating the odds: existe tal cosa como un jugador profesional de poker", sera de 12:30 PM a 2 PM tiempo de Monterrey en el auditorio del FIME en la UANL. Así que si de pura casualidad lees este blog y vives en Monterrey o cercas, ve a la platica.
Llegue a Monterrey desde el jueves pasado para asistir al curso de entrenadores de la Olimpiada Mexicana de Matemáticas, estuvo muy suave y resolvimos problemas muy buenos, esta semana es el congreso y hay miles de platicas de Matemáticas, algunas se ven muy interesantes, pero yo creo asistiré solo a aquellas que tienen que ver con la Olimpiada o que el expositor es compa, jeje. Ya casi tengo mi platica lista, pero este Miércoles le daré los toques finales, esperemos y todo salga bien.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Cash sessions and a good sports betting month

Cleveland won again and won the series against the Yankees, also since I have Cleveland and Boston, I already secured a good profit in the AL Pennant, just with Cleveland alone almost erase my loses on a 10-20 NL terrible session I had (-2 buy ins), one night I just couldn't sleep and decided to play 10-20 NL (??) for the first time, what a time to start, I couldn't sleep but I was tired for sure, and decided to gamble high stakes !!!! (and yes it was a dumb gamble) and of course I got killed since I'm not in that level yet, but thanks to Cleveland and winning all my sessions after that in lower limits from 2-4 to 5-10 NL, that night has been forgotten.
I'm leaving town today, heading to Monterrey, I'm going to the meeting of the Mexican Mathematical Society at the UANL, I'll give a talk there (program 35:10) about how to beat the odds and showing some examples using mathematics in poker and gambling in general. I have several good examples and I really expect the talk to be successful and I'm pretty sure plenty of people will attend, since gambling (and how to make some money of it) is not a topic well known in Mexico and I'm sure it will generate some interest, hopefully my ideas will be clear and everybody who attends will enjoy it.

Monday, October 08, 2007

Cleveland !!

I won good money betting Cleveland on games 1 and 2 versus the Yankees, didn't bet game 3 and the Yankees won, I was not going to bet game 4, since Yankees are in a must-win situation playing in New York, Wang is a much better pitcher than Paul Byrd, but the price was just too good to pass, Cleveland +222, I could not resist it and bet the tribe, go Indians !!

Thursday, October 04, 2007

Some baseball bets

Last week was a very good one for me on Sports Betting, lets see how this one goes,

For today games I have the following:

CHI (Lilly) at ARI (Davis); I have CHI -122
NYY (Wang) at CLE (Sabathia); I have CLE +118 (3 units)
COL (Morales) at PHI (Kendrick); I have PHI -138

I also bought some Boston (35) and Cleveland (22) to win the AL Pennant

My Fantasy Baseball season



I'm really proud of this league (I'm Resurgam Hicetnunc), I just destroyed the competition, it's just amazing winning 7 out of 10 categories in a 12 owner Rotisserie Fantasy Baseball League. Damn, I owned these guys :)

This year I played 2 Fantasy baseball leagues with the following results, 1 out of 12 (4 paid) and 4 out of 13 (5 paid). So, with my 2006 fantasy league I'm now 3 for 3 on fantasy baseball cashes. This is the breakout of the money won this year:

1st place F2: +$1200
4th place F1: +$200
Fees F2: -$250
Fees F1: -$200
Sidebets F1: -$400
Sidebets F2: +$400

So I won $950 for my fantasy baseball addiction.